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Warehouses Take the Lead. Commercial Real Estate Investment Market in Poland

The warehouse sector continues to dominate Poland’s commercial real estate investment market, accounting for 40% of the total investment volume in the first half of 2025. With a transaction value of €1.7 billion – matching the performance of H1 2024 – the market demonstrates a stable yet dynamic outlook. Logistics leads the way, boosted by a record-breaking sale & leaseback deal, signalling the return of large-scale international capital. The data comes from the report “Commercial Real Estate Market in Poland – H1 2025”, prepared by Paulina Brzeszkiewicz-Kuczyńska, Research and Data Manager at Avison Young.

Nextbike consolidates operations in Prologis Park Warsaw II – a strategic investment for European growth

Nextbike Polska, the largest public bike-sharing operator in Poland, has opened a new 8,000 sqm operations and production center in Prologis Park Warsaw II. This facility marks a key step in the company's insourcing strategy and the centralization of its manufacturing processes for Central and Nordic Europe.

Smaller warehouse markets in Poland gain momentum – Tricity, Kraków, Szczecin, and Western Poland attract growing investor interest

Stable demand, strategic locations, and the rising importance of regional logistics are fueling the growth of smaller warehouse markets in Poland. According to experts from Avison Young, locations such as Tricity, Kraków, Szczecin, and Western Poland offer strong development potential – both for developers and occupiers.

Poland's Warehouse Market at the Start of 2025: Stability, Caution, and Evolving Demands

The Polish warehouse market is entering 2025 showing signs of stabilization, though tempered by increased caution from both developers and tenants. While total modern warehouse stock has surpassed 35 million sqm, a record 3 million sqm remains unleased, pushing the average vacancy rate just above 8%. The market is seeing a shift towards lease renegotiations, slower new development, and a focus on flexible, customized, and sustainable solutions.

Certifications, pre-let and power – what drives warehouse construction?

The Polish warehouse market is entering a new stage of maturity, where investment decisions are no longer driven solely by location or projected demand. Today, the key factors are pre-let security, ESG compliance, and access to infrastructure. In a changing economic landscape, developers are increasingly risk-averse, focusing on projects with a solid tenant base. Construction typically begins only when at least 50–60% of the space is pre-leased, making speculative developments the exception rather than the rule.
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